By Paul Homewood
With September numbers now out, satellite data shows that global temperatures this year are going to finish well below both 1998 and 2010, despite very strong El Nino conditions for most of this year.
Since April, according to NOAA’s MEI , this year’s El Nino has been much stronger than anything seen in 2010. Normally we can expect a lag of between 3 and 6 months for changes in the MEI to be reflected in atmospheric temperatures, so it is probable that the latter will continue to increase through the NH winter.
It would be remarkable then if temperatures did not at least match those of 2010, but currently that is just what we are looking at.
For this year to finish above 2010, temperatures for the last three months would have to go off the page.
Of course, calendar years mean little on…
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